For decades, running and I shared a mutual disdain.

Despite countless attempts to sweeten the deal—with the latest podcasts, the catchiest tunes, or the most scenic routes—running hated me, and I hated running.

Last year was a whirlwind of forecasts, particularly in the financial world. Every other day, there seemed to be a new prediction about an impending recession in the United States.

Bloomberg Economics put the probability of a recession in 2023 at a stark 100%—in other words, complete certainty.